BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

N Dakota St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 112 Overall: (22-12) Overall Strength =   36.87
Conference: Summit Record: (15-4) | District: 1-02 Record: (20-8)

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-06-2023 Neutral L    31.00  52  75    1  25 ( 26-  6) Creighton              -5.87    -17.13                      
  2 11-09-2023 Home    W    36.87 112  59   ZZ 145 (  0-  1) Jamestown              -0.00 *   53.00                      
  3 11-15-2023 Away    L    24.89  53  75    1  62 ( 20- 16) Minnesota             -11.98    -10.02                      
  4 11-20-2023 Away    W    38.34  67  60    1 174 ( 15- 16) N Colorado              1.47      5.53                      
  5 11-24-2023 Neutral L    34.38  64  69    1  94 ( 16- 12) Harvard                -2.50     -2.50                      
  6 11-25-2023 Neutral L    27.76  58  73    1  71 ( 28-  6) Toledo                 -9.11     -5.89                      
  7 12-01-2023 Home    W    33.25  93  73    1 315 (  7- 22) Eastern Michigan       -3.62     23.62                      
  8 12-03-2023 Home    W    42.10  91  68   ZZ  10 (  1-  1) Mayville St             5.23     17.77                      
  9 12-08-2023 Away    L    36.85  67  77    1  63 ( 29-  6) Drake                  -0.02     -9.98                      
 10 12-10-2023 Away    L    25.94  59  89    1  28 ( 21- 12) Iowa St               -10.93    -19.07                      
 11 12-20-2023 Home    W    22.91  67  57    1 317 (  6- 22) Central Michigan      -13.97     23.97                      
 12 12-29-2023 Away    W *  49.96  84  69    1 145 ( 23- 13) South Dakota           13.08      1.92                      
 13 01-03-2024 Away    L    14.38  45  65    1 150 ( 17- 16) Montana St            -22.49      2.49                      
 14 01-06-2024 Home    W    57.79  99  73    1 128 ( 25- 10) Northern Arizona       20.92      5.08                      
 15 01-11-2024 Home    W *  20.58  63  60    1 266 ( 12- 20) Missouri KC           -16.29     19.29                      
 16 01-13-2024 Home    W *  33.64  87  69    1 286 (  8- 23) NE Omaha               -3.23     21.23                      
 17 01-18-2024 Away    W *  45.54  84  63    1 254 (  8- 22) Denver                  8.67     12.33                      
 18 01-20-2024 Away    L *  26.68  75  84    1 140 ( 21- 11) Oral Roberts          -10.19      1.19                      
 19 01-25-2024 Home    W *  53.86  85  52    1 234 ( 15- 16) St Thomas MN           16.99     16.01                      
 20 02-01-2024 Home    L *  35.31  58  65    1  61 ( 27-  6) S Dakota St            -1.56     -5.44                      
 21 02-03-2024 Away    W *  35.98 101  85    1 298 (  9- 21) North Dakota           -0.90     16.90                      
 22 02-08-2024 Away    W *  33.87  70  59    1 266 ( 12- 20) Missouri KC            -3.00     14.00                      
 23 02-10-2024 Away    W *  34.93  84  70    1 286 (  8- 23) NE Omaha               -1.94     15.94                      
 24 02-15-2024 Home    W *  40.39  83  73    1 140 ( 21- 11) Oral Roberts            3.51      6.49                      
 25 02-17-2024 Home    W *  40.25  86  65    1 254 (  8- 22) Denver                  3.38     17.62                      
 26 02-22-2024 Away    W *  69.15  96  53    1 234 ( 15- 16) St Thomas MN           32.28     10.72                      
 27 02-24-2024 Home    W *  41.68 107  80    1 298 (  9- 21) North Dakota            4.81     22.19                      
 28 02-29-2024 Home    W *  38.66  63  54    1 145 ( 23- 13) South Dakota            1.79      7.21                      
 29 03-02-2024 Away    L *  32.60  74  89    1  61 ( 27-  6) S Dakota St            -4.27    -10.73                      
 30 03-09-2024 Neutral W *  33.90  72  60    1 254 (  8- 22) Denver                 -2.98     14.98                      
 31 03-11-2024 Neutral W *  42.03  75  66    1 140 ( 21- 11) Oral Roberts            5.16      3.84                      
 32 03-12-2024 Neutral L *  31.96  54  67    1  61 ( 27-  6) S Dakota St            -4.92     -8.08                      
 33 03-25-2024 Home    W    43.33  72  63    1 110 ( 23- 10) Montana                 6.46      2.54                      
 34 03-29-2024 Away    L    42.89  65  69    1  62 ( 20- 16) Minnesota               6.02    -10.02                      
      Averages              36.87  75.4 68.5

Best game:   69.15 = 43 point win over St Thomas MN
Worst game:  14.38 = 20 point loss to Montana St
Team stdev:  10.65